AI
Avinger Inc (AVGR)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2024 revenue was $1.65M with gross margin improving to 26% (from 20% in Q2), while operating expenses fell to $4.10M; net loss improved to $3.71M and adjusted EBITDA loss to $3.37M .
- Cost-reduction program (headcount -24%) and a leaner commercial footprint preserved ~90% of revenue versus Q2 and prior year and improved productivity; sales team now 16 professionals focused on high-value sites .
- The company initiated full commercial launch of Pantheris LV late in Q3; LV revenue increased >20% vs Q2, suggesting positive early adoption .
- Coronary CTO program advanced: IDE pre-submission filed in September; IDE application shifted from Q3 (prior guide) to Q4 2024, with clinical enrollment anticipated in H1 2025; China registration for peripheral products targeted in 2025 via Zylox-Tonbridge partnership .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Gross margin expanded to 26% (from 20% in Q2 and 21% YoY), reflecting improved operating efficiency post realignment; operating expenses declined sequentially to $4.1M .
- Early commercial traction for Pantheris LV: “our Pantheris LV revenue did increase over 20% versus the sales in the second quarter” .
- Coronary CTO program hit key milestones: completion of Phase III V&V testing and FDA pre-submission, planning multi-site enrollment and targeting H1 2025 start; management emphasized favorable reimbursement dynamics in coronary CTO and OCT imaging .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue dipped sequentially and YoY to $1.65M (vs $1.85M in Q2 and $1.82M in Q3 2023), consistent with reduced field footprint; net loss remains sizable despite improvement .
- SG&A decreased ~$0.6M (-16%) QoQ, but R&D rose ~$0.2M (+20%) QoQ as resources shifted to coronary development, sustaining cash burn albeit strategically .
- Consensus estimates not available via S&P Global (coverage/mapping gap), limiting external benchmark comparisons for revenue/EPS; investors must rely on internal trajectory and execution milestones (see Estimates Context).
Financial Results
Notes: Adjusted EBITDA defined and reconciled in press release exhibits .
Segment breakdown: Not disclosed; Avinger does not report operating segments in the materials reviewed .
KPIs (current quarter)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “In the third quarter, we began to see the impact of recent initiatives to streamline costs, enhance operational efficiency…Operating expenses have decreased significantly…while revenue has remained in line despite a leaner commercial team, and gross margins have improved for the second consecutive quarter” .
- “We filed a pre-submission package with the FDA…Once the presubmission process is complete…we’ll be ready to file the IDE…targeting 110 patients with a 30-day follow-up” .
- “Our Pantheris LV…is designed to streamline the atherectomy procedure and paired with our portable Lightbox 3…expand the mainstream appeal of our image-guided platform” .
- “Zylox recently received the prestigious Innovative Medical Device review designation for our Pantheris device in China…enables priority regulatory review” .
Q&A Highlights
- Pantheris LV adoption: Physicians value simplicity and streamlined procedure; LV revenue grew >20% QoQ despite late-quarter full launch .
- China regulatory and manufacturing: All products passed type testing; filings expected by year-end; regulatory approval projected 2H 2025; Zylox building manufacturing lines with Avinger support; scale-up mid-2025 .
- Strategic rationale for cost reductions: -24% headcount primarily in sales/marketing to focus investment on coronary program; expect some peripheral revenue softening offset by efficiency and future Zylox upside .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus for Q3 2024 Revenue and EPS was unavailable via S&P Global due to missing CIQ mapping for AVGR; as a result, external benchmark comparisons could not be performed.
- Implication: Internal trajectory (gross margin expansion, opex reduction, LV launch) and milestone execution (IDE timing, China filings) become the primary anchors for investor assessment .
Note: Consensus estimates were unavailable via S&P Global for AVGR this quarter.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Efficiency inflection: Gross margin improved to 26% and opex declined to $4.1M, driving sequential improvement in net loss and adjusted EBITDA; continued execution here is key to cash runway extension .
- Coronary CTO catalyst: IDE application now targeted for Q4 2024; H1 2025 enrollment; favorable reimbursement expected in coronary CTO and OCT imaging could accelerate adoption post clearance .
- Pantheris LV launch traction: >20% QoQ LV revenue growth suggests product-market fit; watch adoption pace into Q4/Q1 and contribution to gross margin mix .
- China optionality: Innovative device designation and 2025 registration target, plus mid-2025 manufacturing scale-up, create royalty and potential COGS benefits over time .
- Liquidity: Cash was $5.9M at 9/30; balance sheet improved earlier in 2024 via debt conversion and financing—monitor burn rate versus milestones .
- Near-term trading lens: Stock likely sensitive to IDE filing timing (Q4) and any early LV adoption updates; a delay would be a negative catalyst, while on-time IDE and LV momentum are positives .
- Medium-term thesis: Value hinges on coronary program de-risking (clinical outcomes, reimbursement capture) and China commercialization; execution on manufacturing transfer could structurally improve margins .